Table 7 Underlying distributions and confidence intervals of the parameters for the probabilistic sensitivity analysis

 Pre-school-children %

(0.57: 0.70)

Beta

Kassebaum et al. and Asorbayire et al. [1, 6]

 School age children %

(0.39: 0.51)

Beta

 Women %

(0.34: 0.44)

Beta

 Men %

(0.15: 0.20)

Beta

 Relative risk of mortality

(1.68: 3.36)

Lognormal

Brabin et al. [37]

 IQ loss due to IDA (points)

(5.1: 13.4)

Gamma

Lozoff et al. [39]

 Impact of IQ losses on wages %

(0.05: 0.01)

Beta

Psacharopoulos [53]

 Intergeneration income correlation^a

(0.50: 0.59)

Beta

Black, Solon [51, 52]

 Relative risk to dropout (risk)

1.25

(1.01: 1.45)

Lognormal

Soemantri et al., Hutchinson et al., Bobonis et al., and Walker et al. [27, 30,31,32,33]

 Reduced learning at school %

10

(0.087: 0.116)

Beta

Soemantri et al. and Hutchinson et al. [29, 30]

 Intergeneration income correlation^a

0.35

(0.31: 0.38)

Beta

Black [51]

 Returns on education %

10.9

(0.079: 0.139)

Lognormal^b

 Moderate manual labor %

5

(0.045: 0.057)

Lognormal^b

Basta [54]

 Additional loss intense manual labor %

12

(0.11 0: 0.136)

Lognormal^b

 Anemia mild (DW)

0.005

(0.002: 0.023)

Beta

Plessow et al. and Murray et al. [42, 43, 45]

 Anemia moderate (DW)

0.058

(0.038: 0.086)

Beta

 Anemia severe (DW)

0.164

(0.112: 0.228)

Beta

 Intellectual disability mild (DW)

0.031

(0.018: 0.049)

Beta

 Intellectual disability moderate (DW)

0.08

(0.053: 0.114)

Beta

 Life expectancy (years)

58

(56.2: 60.8)

Gamma

World Factbook [46]

 Working life begins (years)

15

(13.2: 18.1)

Gamma

World Bank [47]

 Working life ends (years)

65

(60.6: 71.4)

Gamma

World Bank [47]

 Labor force participation %

55

(0.497: 0.571)

Beta

World Bank [47]

 Projected income growth %

3.5

(0.039: 0.031)

Normal

World Bank [47]

 Interest rate %

3

(0.034: 0.026)

Normal

Smith [49]

 Mean monthly wage (CFA | 2015)

64,575

(54,575: 74,575)

Gamma

National Statistics Cote D’Ivoire [48]